- This week, Democrats secured major victories across Virginia, New Jersey, and New York City, among other contests. In New York City, record-breaking turnout played a decisive role. The city recorded its highest voter participation since at least 1969 with affordability emerging as a dominant issue. The concern has become so central that President Trump’s political director during the 2024 campaign indicated that affordability will be a key focus for the president moving forward.
- Occam’s analysis of approval ratings show that Trump’s net approval, which spiked briefly after the 2024 presidential election, has since declined sharply. The drop has been most pronounced among Independents, where his support collapsed ahead of the 2025 elections, driven in part by growing frustration over affordability.
- Looking ahead, Trump’s approval trajectory will remain a pivotal factor shaping the political landscape as the 2026 midterm elections approach. Subscribe today to stay ahead of the curve.
